Does Theresa May really think Jeremy Corbyn is stupid enough to walk hand-in-hand with her to a Tory Brexit?

May implied she will shove a reference to the customs union in the political declaration, in the hope the Labour leader will whip his MPs to back her deal

Sean O'Grady
Tuesday 02 April 2019 13:52 EDT
Comments
Theresa May says UK will seek 'short extension' as she reaches out to Corbyn for new deal

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Yet again she got the lectern out. Yet again she let us down. No general election. No second referendum. No immediate resignation. She said – relatively – little of real consequence, turned on her heel and didn’t take questions. She’s going for yet another meaningful vote. What a bore.

Another anti-climax, then, from the queen of the let down, Theresa May. She really is debasing the currency of the set-piece Downing Street statement. It used to be reserved for declarations of war or general elections or tearful prime ministerial resignations. Next time she'll probably make a solemn promise to get the next round in.

In truth it appears to be an exercise in the blame game – tying to pin the failure of Brexit on Jeremy Corbyn this time. The rhetoric about national unity is incredible from someone who has so studiously ignored and disdained parliament for the past few years. And it is a flimsy, transparent effort to get Jeremy Corbyn to back what he has always called a “Tory Brexit”.

If that is the best that May and her cabinet colleagues can come up with after seven hours of discussion then we really are running out of room.

She is, in other words, sticking to Plan A – her deal – and pursuing it this time in the pathetic belief, sincere or not, that she can somehow get Corbyn to buy into it. She must think him very stupid indeed.

So, by the end of the week we will be back again at square one, another run round the circuit completed. So weak is her position – presumably from the proceedings of her marathon cabinet session – that she is too feeble even to make the ritual threats about elections and no deal Brexit (indeed she ruled that one out – thanks, presumably, to a strong showing from the likes of Philip Hammond and Amber Rudd).

The substance in the May statement, implied only, is that she will shove a reference to the customs union in the political declaration, expecting this to be sufficient to persuade Corbyn to whip his MPs to back her deal. Yet the political declaration has no force.

Then again, if she consented to negotiate with the EU to put a customs union into the Withdrawal Agreement, or otherwise into a legally binding document, then it might just have a chance.

That, though, would rub out her red line: and be the functional end for Liam Fox’s Department for International Trade’s role in pursuing global trade deals. There would be a massive rebellion in her own ranks, and surely resignations. She has come to realise, probably too late, that she can only get her deal through the Commons with opposition – i.e. Labour – votes.

Yet Labour has sniffed an election in the air, a chance to smash a chaotic, unstable, volatile and divided Tory party, and achieve Brexit on their own terms.

This effort will flop, entirely predictably, and the initiative will pass to the EU. We will ask for an Article 50 extension, as May states. They will grant it, only on the condition that we participate in the elections to the European parliament; and then either a general election or a second referendum. Otherwise we crash out.

If I were a Tory MP I would fear my party being annihilated in the election campaign, 1997-style, topped by the arrival of a deeply socialist Corbyn government – wealth tax, nationalisation, the works.

Nor would I relish crashing out of the EU with Theresa May in 10 days’ time – even if the Commons allowed it and even if the EU insisted. The only – only – option left is the Final Say referendum. Tack that to May’s deal and it would pass both houses of parliament and get royal assent in a morning.

They know what to do. They should get on with it. Who knows, May might even win this time round.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in