Air travel won’t recover to pre-coronavirus levels until 2024, say experts
Recovery of flights is ‘barely visible’ says Iata boss
Your support helps us to tell the story
From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.
At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.
The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.
Your support makes all the difference.Experts have scaled back their expectations of how soon the aviation industry could recover, with air travel not expected to hit pre-pandemic levels until 2024.
Leading trade body the International Air Transport Association (Iata) originally predicted that flights would recover to 2019 numbers by 2023, but has pushed back its forecast by a year.
One key market that is slowing the recovery is the US, where air travel had been increasing but has recently been knocked off course again by new spikes in coronavirus cases across a number of states.
Although the aviation industry is tentatively restarting after an almost total shutdown in April, Iata chief economist Brian Pearce said that any recovery was “barely visible”, reports Associated Press.
Passenger traffic globally was down 94.1 per cent year-on-year in April; in June, it was still down by 86.5 per cent year-on-year.
A lack of consumer confidence and tighter budgets putting paid to business travel are both contributing to the slow recovery.
“Furthermore, there is little sign of virus containment in many important emerging economies, which in combination with the US, represent around 40 per cent of global air travel markets,” Iata said in a statement.
“Their continued closure, particularly to international travel, is a significant drag on recovery.”
Europe’s biggest budget airline, Ryanair, reported losses of €185m (£167m) – an average of £20 per second – between April and June 2020.
The carrier saw passenger traffic fall by 99 per cent.
In the UK, the Foreign Office blanket warning against international travel, which is still in place for most countries, is thwarting travel plans, alongside the mandatory two-week quarantine for all travelling arriving from all but 62 destinations.
Spain, a favourite with British holidaymakers, was recently removed from both exemptions after a flare-up in Covid-19 cases.
Join our commenting forum
Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies
Comments