Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Isis apocalypse expert says sending ground troops to Syria is the 'worst trap' the West could fall into

A new poll for CNN has suggested for the first time that a majority (53 per cent) of the US public favours sending the army in to fight Isis in Syria and Iraq

Adam Withnall
Tuesday 08 December 2015 06:47 EST
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Sending ground troops into Syria would directly fulfil Isis’s apocalyptic prophecy and only end up making them stronger in the long term, a leading expert has said.

A new poll for CNN has suggested for the first time that a majority (53 per cent) of the US public favours sending ground forces to fight thge militant group in Syria and Iraq.

In Britain, polling by YouGov at the start of December suggested more people were in favour of Western ground troops in Syria than were against – though 23 per cent said they did not know either way.

But while many experts ahead of the vote in the Commons last week said they were not against air strikes on Isis in principle, the idea of using UK or US ground troops has been emphatically rejected.

None of the international coalition have been willing to commit troops to fight Isis on the ground
None of the international coalition have been willing to commit troops to fight Isis on the ground

Jean-Pierre Filiu, professor of Middle East Studies at the Sciences Po institution in Paris, told the New York Times such a move would be the “worst trap” the international community could possibly fall into.

Based on passages of scripture, one of Isis’s core beliefs is that a final battle will take place at the town of Dabiq in Syria between its followers and all non-believers, hailing the start of the end times.

Issue 12 of Isis' propaganda magazine, Dabiq
Issue 12 of Isis' propaganda magazine, Dabiq

Isis's main propaganda magazine is named after this promised battle, and its founder Abu Musab al-Zarqawi is quoted in every issue as saying. “The spark has been lit here in Iraq, and its heat will continue to intensify – by Allah's permission – until it burns the crusader armies in Dabiq."

Mr Filiu, the author of a book on the subject entitled “Apocalypse in Islam”, said: “Because of these prophecies, going in on the ground would be the worst trap to fall into.

“They want troops on the ground – because they have already envisioned it. It’s a very powerful and emotional narrative. It gives the potential recruit and the actual fighters the feeling that not only are they part of the elite, they are also part of the final battle.”

In his speech from the Oval Office on Sunday evening, Barack Obama rejected calls to escalate the campaign in Syria in the wake of the Paris and San Bernardino attacks.

He suggested Isis was already being tackled, and that it would only be defeated through a patient combination of drone strikes, special forces operations and greater investment in intelligence.

But with new figures suggesting the flow of foreign fighters to Syria has doubled, Mr Filiu said there was only one way to stop Isis’s growth.

“To break the dynamic, you have to debunk the prophecy,” he said.

“You need to do so via a military defeat, like taking over Raqqa. But it needs to be by local forces — by Sunni Arabs.”

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in