Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Odds for Donald Trump to win US election exact same as they were for Brexit

Mr Trump has repeatedly likened himself to Brexit, arguing that his win will be a similar surprise to the establishment

Andrew Griffin
Tuesday 08 November 2016 12:58 EST
Comments
A woman examines a traditional Russian wooden nesting doll, a Matryoshka doll, depicting US Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump at a gift shop in central Moscow on November 8, 2016
A woman examines a traditional Russian wooden nesting doll, a Matryoshka doll, depicting US Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump at a gift shop in central Moscow on November 8, 2016 (KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP/Getty Images)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

The odds on Donald Trump winning the US election are the exact same as those for the successful Brexit vote, according to bookmakers.

Ladbrokes has revealed its final odds on the morning of the election day. And it has offering 3/1 on a Trump win – exactly the same price that was being offered for Leave on the morning of June 23, when Britain voted to leave the European Union.

As any vote for Mr Trump would, the British vote to leave the EU stunned the establishment and came as a shock to those who had been following official polling, which consistently showed a slight lead for Remain. Polling has also shown a win for Hillary Clinton is likely.

Mr Trump and his advisors have repeatedly said that his election will be similar to the vote to leave in the British referendum, in that its support was being underestimated and was likely to come as a shock to the establishment. As with Brexit, momentum is likely to pick up as the votes close, Mr Trump has claimed.

During his final speeches, Mr Trump has made repeated reference to Brexit. "We are going to have one of the great victories of all time," he said, comparing it to the vote by the UK to leave the European Union "times 50".

Mr Trump has also been support by Nigel Farage, who has appeared onstage with Mr Trump at rallies.

Ladbrokes’ odds aren’t in line with the probabilities suggested by most estimates, which have the likelihood of a win by Ms Clinton around 80-90 per cent.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in