Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Kemi Badenoch would defeat all five leadership rivals, new poll reveals

Conservative MPs will narrow down the number of candidates to just two before the contest goes to a vote among Tory members to decide a winner by November 2

Millie Cooke
Friday 23 August 2024 12:01 EDT
Comments
Kemi Badenoch began to set out her stall as a leadership contender (Lucy North/PA)
Kemi Badenoch began to set out her stall as a leadership contender (Lucy North/PA) (PA Wire)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Kemi Badenoch has been handed a boost in the race to take over from Rishi Sunak as leader of the Conservatives, after a new poll of party members indicated she would beat all five of the other contenders if she reaches the final two.

A YouGov survey published on Friday saw Mrs Badenoch beat James Cleverly, Robert Jenrick, Tom Tugendhat, Dame Priti Patel and Mel Stride in head-to-head votes.

The poll, which spoke to 903 party members between Aug 6 and 15, saw 47 per cent of members say they would back Mrs Badenoch in a contest against Mr Cleverly, who was picked by 38 per cent.

The former business secretary beat Mr Jenrick by 48 per cent to 33 per cent, Mr Tugendhat by 49 per cent to 31 per cent, Dame Priti by 55 per cent to 26 per cent and Mr Stride by 61 per cent to 14 per cent.

Kemi Badenoch began to set out her stall as a leadership contender (Lucy North/PA)
Kemi Badenoch began to set out her stall as a leadership contender (Lucy North/PA) (PA Wire)

Conservative MPs will narrow down the number of candidates to just two in a series of votes in September and October, before the contest goes to a vote among Tory members to decide a winner by November 2.

Asked to pick their favourite candidate, Mrs Badenoch came first with 24 per cent of party members backing her. In second place was Mr Tugendhat, with 16 per cent backing him. Mr Cleverly was in third on 14 per cent, Mr Jenrick was fourth on 12 per cent, Dame Priti was fifth on 11 per cent and Mr Stride was in sixth place on 2 per cent.

However, separate polling published just four days ago put Mr Cleverly in first place.

Kemi Badenoch, Robert Jenrick, Mel Stride, James Cleverly, Tom Tugendhat and Dame Priti Patel (PA)
Kemi Badenoch, Robert Jenrick, Mel Stride, James Cleverly, Tom Tugendhat and Dame Priti Patel (PA) (PA Media)

In the first poll of Conservative Party members since the race began at the end of July, 26 per cent put the shadow home secretary as their first choice. Following behind in second place was Dame Priti, with 20 per cent saying she was their top choice.

The Techne poll, conducted between August 2 and 12, put Mrs Badenoch in third place at 14 per cent support, Mr Tugendhat in fourth with 11 per cent backing and Mr Jenrick in fifth on 10 per cent. In sixth place was Mr Stride, with just four per cent of members listing him as their top choice.

The survey, commissioned by Mr Cleverly’s campaign, spoke to 805 party members.

The polling indicated that he would beat each of his competitors in a head-to-head against the other candidates.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in