Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

David Blanchflower: 'Double dip into the red is inevitable'

Wednesday 20 October 2010 10:26 EDT
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

The Government's cuts were branded the "greatest error seen in our lifetime" by a former Bank of England rate setter today who warned the country now faced another recession and a long painful recovery.

Economist David Blanchflower said a double dip into the red was inevitable following the announcement of the comprehensive spending review.

But he predicted worse was to come as any return to growth would be anaemic and not strong enough to generate enough jobs to tackle rising unemployment.

The US-based economist's comments came on the day he was made a CBE for services to his industry and the Bank of England.

Speaking after the Buckingham Palace investiture ceremony hosted by the Queen, he said: "I've already called it the greatest macro-economic mistake in years.

"There's no example in history where such a thing as this has ever worked. The only examples in history is where you've done this and it's failed.

"It generates double dip recession, this looks like the greatest error we've ever seen in our lifetime in economics."

Outlining his fears for the future, he added: "The worry is long anaemic growth. If you get a double dip with steep recovery that's fine, the worry is that you get nothing like that - very slow growth, I call it 'the long slog'.

"It may not be negative growth for a very long time, but the Office for Budgetary Responsibility needs you to get 2.8%.

"Well let's suppose its 1%, that growth's not enough to get unemployment down, unemployment will rise with anaemic growth like that."

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in