Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Brexit: Moody’s hits back after Government dismisses UK credit rating cut as 'outdated'

Public spat as rating agency insists Theresa May’s Florence speech has not altered big picture of likely Brexit damage to the economy 

Rob Merrick
Deputy Political Editor
Saturday 23 September 2017 07:41 EDT
Comments
‘Brexit uncertainty’ has not been reduced by the Prime Minister’s speech, Moody’s said
‘Brexit uncertainty’ has not been reduced by the Prime Minister’s speech, Moody’s said (Corbis)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Downing Street is embroiled in a public spat over a Brexit-triggered cut to the UK’s credit rating, after its claim that the verdict is “outdated” was rejected.

The ratings agency Moody’s said No 10 was wrong to argue the downgrade would not have happened if the decision had been taken after Theresa May’s speech in Florence.

Instead, it stood by its cut – stating the speech had not changed the big picture of likely damage to the economy from Brexit, when the UK's debt reduction plans are already off course.

“I’ve read the speech and it doesn’t change our view at all,” said Alastair Wilson, the head of sovereign ratings at Moody’s.

“It certainly is not outdated. It reflects a medium term view, it's very much a forward looking view,” he told BBC News.

Meanwhile, Labour’s Treasury spokesman, Peter Dowd, said the downgrading was a “hammer blow” to the Government's economic credibility.

“For the second time under the Tories the UK's credit rating has been downgraded, and on this occasion citing their lack of faith in the Chancellor to meet his own spending targets as a result of unfunded spending commitments such as the deal with the DUP,” he said.

Liberal Democrat leader Sir Vince Cable said it was no coincidence the downgrading came alongside Theresa May's Florence address.

“Despite Theresa May's conciliatory tone we are no closer to knowing what our future relationship with the EU will be once any transitional deal expires,” he said.

“The warning that Moody's have issued by downgrading the credit rating is that the economy will be weaker once the transitional deal comes to an end.

“All May has done is simply delay the economic pain caused by an extreme Brexit.”

Moody's, one of the major ratings agencies, downgraded the UK to an Aa2 rating from Aa1 – having removed its top-notch AAA rating in 2013.

The other major agencies, Fitch and S&P, changed their ratings in 2016, with S&P cutting it two notches from AAA to AA, and Fitch lowering it from AA+ to AA.

Moody’s pointed to higher spending, running ahead of revenues – including the DUP cash – and said “any free trade agreement will likely take years to negotiate, prolonging the current uncertainty for business”.

No 10 tried to play down the downgrade, arguing it followed a meeting on 19 September – which, therefore, did not take into account the new Brexit policy.

“The Prime Minister has just set out an ambitious vision for the UK's future relationship with the EU, making clear that both sides will benefit from a new and unique partnership,” it said.

“The foundations on which we build this partnership are strong.”

Mr Wilson said he welcomed the speech “in some respects”, saying: “Recognition that transitional arrangements will be needed is a positive feature from the credit perspective.”

However, Moody’s said the “best-case scenario” for a post-Brexit trade agreement “would not award the same access to the EU single market that the UK currently enjoys”.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in