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Irish unity border poll will be held before 2030, Mary Lou McDonald predicts

The Sinn Fein president said a lot of preparatory work will need to be done in advance of the referenda on both sides of the border.

David Young
Thursday 08 February 2024 05:55 EST
Michelle Oā€™Neill and Mary Lou McDonald at Stormont (Liam McBurney/PA)
Michelle Oā€™Neill and Mary Lou McDonald at Stormont (Liam McBurney/PA) (PA Wire)

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Sinn Fein President Mary Lou McDonald has predicted a border poll on Northern Irelandā€™s constitutional future will be held before 2030.

Ms McDonald comments expressing confidence of referenda on both sides of the border within six years come amid increased focus on the prospects of the reunification following the appointment of Sinn Feinā€™s Michelle Oā€™Neill as Northern Irelandā€™s first nationalist first minister.

ā€œI envisage us having the referendums in this decade,ā€ she told Sky News.

Asked to clarify if that meant before 2030, she replied: ā€œYes, and let me say that it is not so far away, so thereā€™s an awful lot of work that needs to be done.

ā€œIā€™ve said consistently to the government in Dublin that they really need to take possession of this conversation thatā€™s now under way right across Ireland.

ā€œThey need to give it a structure and a place and, of course, it has to be inclusive.

ā€œWe want to hear from every voice, including those for whom reunification would not be their first option, those who go out and campaign for the union.

ā€œNevertheless, we all live together, thatā€™s never going to change. We share Ireland, we love Ireland, and we want whatā€™s best for our children, for our grandchildren.

ā€œI think thatā€™s the strongest, most powerful common ground that we all share.ā€

Under the terms of the Good Friday Agreement, a border poll should be called by the incumbent Northern Ireland Secretary when he/she believes there is evidence that public opinion in the region has shifted in favour of constitutional change.

Successive UK governments have consistently declined to specify publicly what criteria will be applied when measuring public sentiment on the issue.

Last week, Ms McDonald said unification was within ā€œtouching distanceā€ ā€“ a claim that prompted DUP leader Sir Jeffrey Donaldson to remark that his political rival must have the ā€œlongest arms on this islandā€.

Sir Jeffrey rejected suggestions of a poll within the next decade, insisting ā€œwe are nowhere near a united Irelandā€.

Ms McDonald came back on his comments on Thursday.

ā€œWhen I say unity is within touching distance, I said in historic terms, I donā€™t mean that itā€™s happening next week, or next month,ā€ she said.

ā€œSo you donā€™t have to have those long arms that Jeffrey refers to. But what I am saying, what I firmly believe, is in this decade we will have those referendums and itā€™s my job and the job of people like me who believe in reunification to convince, to win hearts and minds and to convince people of that opportunity.ā€

Ms Oā€™Neill, who is in London with her party president, later accused Northern Ireland Secretary Chris Heaton-Harris of ā€œignoring the realityā€ on the issue of constitutional change.

Earlier this week, Mr Heaton-Harris said he did not expect a border poll within his lifetime.

ā€œI think Chris Heaton-Harris, with all due respect, thatā€™s a bit of an ostrich mentality, sticking your head in the sand and refusing to see whatā€™s actually happening all around you,ā€ she told ITV.

Ms Oā€™Neill added: ā€œI think heā€™s ignoring the reality. My election speaks to the change thatā€™s happening across the island.

ā€œMy parents and grandparents never believed this day would come, that this change would never come about because the north is built in such a way that someone from my background was never supposed to be in a position of first minister.

ā€œYou know, all the old certainties of the past, of that state that they were born into, are gone.

ā€œSo I actually think that my appointment actually does reflect the change thatā€™s happening.ā€

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