Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Opinion poll round-up on day 14 of the election campaign

A poll of voting intention in Scotland puts Labour 10 percentage points ahead of the SNP.

Ian Jones
Wednesday 05 June 2024 08:06 EDT
Labour continues to enjoy a strong lead in the latest average opinion poll ratings ahead of the General Election on July 4 (Andrew Matthews/PA)
Labour continues to enjoy a strong lead in the latest average opinion poll ratings ahead of the General Election on July 4 (Andrew Matthews/PA) (PA Archive)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

One nationwide opinion poll has been published in the last 24 hours, along with a separate poll of voting intention in Scotland.

A poll by Savanta, carried out from Friday May 31 to Sunday June 2 among 2,209 UK adults online, puts Labour 14 percentage points ahead of the Conservatives.

The figures are Labour 42%, Conservative 28%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Reform 9%, Green 4%, SNP 3%, Plaid Cymru 1% and other parties 4%.

An average of all polls that were carried out wholly or partly during the seven days to June 5 puts Labour on 45%, 22 points ahead of the Conservatives on 23%, followed by Reform on 12%, the Lib Dems on 9% and the Greens on 5%.

These figures are broadly unchanged on the averages for the previous seven days to May 29, which were Labour 45%, Conservatives 24%, Reform 11%, Lib Dems 10% and Green 6%.

On May 22, the day Rishi Sunak called the General Election, the seven-day averages stood at Labour 45%, Conservatives 23%, Reform 11%, Lib Dems 9% and Green 6%.

The averages have been calculated by the PA news agency and are based on polls published by BMG, Deltapoll, Find Out Now, Ipsos, JL Partners, More in Common, Opinium, People Polling, Redfield Wilton, Savanta, Survation, TechneUK, WeThink, Whitestone and YouGov.

A separate poll by Redfield & Wilton of Westminster voting intention in Scotland, carried out from Saturday June 1 to Sunday June 2 among 1,000 adults online, puts Labour on 39%, up from 38% in Redfield & Wilton’s previous Scotland poll in early May; the SNP on 29% (down from 31%); the Conservatives on 17% (up from 14%); the Lib Dems on 8% (unchanged); Reform on 4% (unchanged); the Greens on 3% (down from 4%); Alba on 1% (unchanged); and other parties on 1% (up from zero).

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in