Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Study explains why fewer people followed Covid rules as pandemic went on

Figures suggest people happier to socialise as most vulnerable offered first dose of jab

Ella Pickover
Thursday 25 November 2021 11:36 EST
Comments
People in rural areas were more likely to stick to the rules than people in cities
People in rural areas were more likely to stick to the rules than people in cities (AFP via Getty Images)

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Lockdown fatigue could have made people less inclined to follow stay-at-home rules, a new study suggests.

Researchers used anonymised mobile phone data to assess over a million people’s movements during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Their study, published in the journal Scientific Reports, looked at the visits people made to other homes from March 2020 to May this year.

They saw a significant drop-off in visits when the first lockdown was announced.

When the second and third lockdowns were announced, people reduced contacts but to a much lesser extent.

There was a rise in pre-lockdown visits in the five days between when the November lockdown was announced and its taking effect.

And despite being in a lockdown at the start of this year, household visits rose after the most vulnerable people had been offered their first vaccine in February.

People in rural areas were more likely to stick to the rules than people in cities.

The study came after a separate survey found a quarter of people are now flouting Covid self-isolation rules by leaving home or having visitors even after testing positive for the virus.

The researchers compared household mixing across the pandemic to baseline levels, calculated from average household visits eight weeks before the pandemic began in England by assessing the anonymised mobile data of people who agreed to share information for research purposes.

They observed a 54.4 per cent drop in household mixing during the first lockdown in March last year, which gradually increased across the year as restrictions were lifted.

Household mixing fell again in the November lockdown, but only by by 15.28 per cent, while in January there was a 26.22 per cent decrease.

A significant increase in household mixing occurred in mid-February this year, indicating that people may have been happier to begin socialising after an announcement that the most vulnerable groups had been offered the first dose of a Covid-19 jab.

The authors also suggest that “lockdown fatigue” contributed to higher levels of household mixing in later lockdowns.

Professor Ed Manley, from the University of Leeds, said: “(There was an) immediate effect from the first lockdown in March, where we saw basically levels of visitation plummet.

“And while the first and third lockdown showed quite low reductions in household visitation, there were cases of lockdown fatigue creeping in in the second two lockdowns.

“We also saw this large increase in February 2021 as vaccinations rolled out.”

The researchers cautioned that the data was not able to differentiate between visits to people’s homes or gardens.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in