Nasa Twins Study: What Scott Kelly’s results tells us about humans in space

For 340 days, Scott Kelly circled the Earth aboard the International Space Station, gathering data about himself.

He drew blood from his arms. He saved his urine. He played computer games to test his memory and reaction speed. He measured the shape of his eyes.

Two hundred-and-forty miles below, Scott’s twin brother, Mark, who also served as an astronaut, carried out identical tests. Now, a comparison of these two men has provided a unique opportunity to learn what happens to the human body in space – down to the molecular level.

On Thursday, just over three years after Scott Kelly, 55, returned to Earth, Nasa researchers reported that his body experienced a vast number of changes while in orbit. DNA mutated in some of his cells. His immune system produced a host of new signals. His microbiome gained new species of bacteria.

Many of these biological changes seemed harmless, disappearing after he returned to Earth. But others – including genetic mutations and, after his return, declines in cognitive test scores – did not correct themselves, provoking concern among scientists.

Some considered the risks manageable, while others wondered whether it would ever be safe for astronauts to take long journeys to Mars or beyond. Final answers will depend on studies of more astronauts.

“I believe it’s the most comprehensive assessment of human beings to date”, says Dr Eric Topol, director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute, who was not involved in the study. “I don’t know that there’s been anything close to this.”

Although astronauts have been carried aloft for almost six decades, there’s much about life in space that scientists still don’t understand. With investigations like the Nasa Twins Study, published in the journal Science, the agency hopes to get some answers before sending astronauts on longer flights.

In 2012, Nasa picked Scott to join Russian cosmonaut Mikhail Kornienko aboard the space station for a yearlong examination of the challenges of space travel, twice as long as previous studies.

In the run-up to the mission’s announcement, Scott asked officials if they had any plans to compare him to his twin. “We have these two guys who are genetically identical”, Scott recalls telling them. “They’d make for an interesting experiment.”

Officials had no such plans, but soon decided to take him up on the offer. Mark Kelly agreed, and the Nasa Twins Study was born. (Mark, who retired from Nasa in 2011 and is the husband of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, is running for John McCain’s Senate seat in Arizona.)

By comparing the brothers, Nasa hoped to better understand the changes that Scott experienced during his mission.

“The fact that they’re twins really narrows down the alternatives”, says Susan Bailey, a cancer biologist at Colorado State University and a co-author of the new study. “We can say that, as best as we can tell, these changes are due to spaceflight.”

Ten research teams designed experiments for the twins; they are likely to bring an avalanche of research. But to Scott, the experience didn’t feel very different from previous missions.

Drawing his own blood in zero gravity, for example, was a familiar routine. “I’ve had a couple spills in my time”, Scott says. “You just reach out and grab the blobs of blood.”

By many measures, the scientists eventually found, Scott changed about as much as astronauts who stayed on the space station for only six months. Eventually, the pace of biological change slowed, suggesting that perhaps the human body reaches a new equilibrium in space.

But Scott’s body was also altered in some surprising ways.

Bailey studied special sections of his DNA called telomeres, which sit at the end of chromosomes, protecting them from deterioration.

As people age, their telomeres tend to get shorter. Stress – such as radiation or pollution – may hasten ageing by fraying telomeres even faster than usual.

Strangely, the average length of Scott’s telomeres increased in space, rather than decreasing, as if his cells were becoming more youthful.

Regular exercise and a healthy diet might be part of the reason. But going to space also might have awakened a quiet population of stem cells in Scott’s body, Bailey says.

His cells might not have grown longer telomeres, in other words. Instead, perhaps his body manufactured a new supply of young cells with longer telomeres.

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Activated genes

Going to space also appeared to trigger a genetic shift in Scott. Thousands of genes that were once quiet increased their activity – genes that remained quiet in Mark’s body back on Earth. The longer Scott stayed aloft, the greater the number of genes becoming active.

Some of the awakened genes are known to encode proteins that help fix damaged DNA. That would make sense, given that radiation levels in the International Space Station are higher than on Earth.

Christopher Mason, a geneticist at Weill Cornell Medicine in New York, estimated that Scott was exposed to 48 times more radiation than the average exposure on Earth over the course of a year. His cells might have been busy repairing radiation injury.

A number of other activated genes, however, play roles in the immune system. What exactly triggers those changes isn’t clear.

It may be the overall stress of life in the space station provokes an immune response. But recent studies also show that latent viruses can awaken in astronauts.

Or maybe it’s that the immune system, which never evolved for survival in space, simply gets confused.

“Is it good or bad? We just know it’s more”, Mason, a co-author of the new study, says of the immune activity. “To know for sure, we’d need more astronauts.”

Scott’s return to Earth on 1 March 2016, proved to be one of the biggest moments – biologically speaking – of the whole mission. His body showed signs of intense stress, and his immune system was in high gear.

Michael Snyder, a geneticist at Stanford University and co-author of the research, cautioned that this response might not be typical. “Maybe he got a viral infection”, he speculates. “This is why you want to see it in more people.”

Despite that shock, Scott’s body mostly returned to preflight condition. Some species of bacteria that thrived in his gut while he was in space, for example, became rare again on his landing.

The strange lengthening of Scott’s telomeres disappeared after less than 48 hours on Earth. In fact, Bailey and her colleagues started finding many cells with telomeres that were shorter than before Scott went to space.

“People have asked me, ‘Well, is going to space the fountain of youth?’” Bailey says. “I don’t think so. If it is, you’re going to have to stay up there forever.”

‘Fighting through quicksand’

Some aspects of Scott’s biology didn’t return to the preflight norm.

Six months after he came back to Earth, 8.7 percent of his genes were still behaving in an altered way. Judging from the small size of this shift, Snyder describes the change as modest.

The researchers also found that Scott didn’t do as well on his return on cognitive exams. “He got slower and less accurate on virtually all of the tests”, says Dr Mathias Basner, a cognitive scientist at the University of Pennsylvania.

It’s possible that some biological change was to blame. But Basner noted that Scott also faced a lot of demands back on Earth, including a busy schedule of television interviews and public speaking.

And on an unconscious level, he may no longer have been pushing himself. “I mean, he basically retired the moment he hit the ground, and so perhaps he just wasn’t as motivated any longer”, Basner says.

In his 2017 memoir, Endurance, Scott describes struggling after his return with pain, sleeping troubles and other woes. One night he felt as if he was “fighting through quicksand”, he wrote.

In an interview, Scott speculated those difficulties might be to blame for his cognitive scores. “It’s hard to concentrate when you’re not feeling well”, he says.

Another enduring change, scientists found, was a collection of genetic mutations that Scott gained in space. “We see them appear in flight, and then they persisted afterward”, Mason says.

Sometimes radiation triggers a type of mutation that makes cells prone to gain still more mutations as they divide. Eventually, the cells may start growing uncontrollably – “taking steps on the road to cancer”, Bailey says.

Peter Campbell, a cancer biologist at the Wellcome Sanger Institute in Cambridge, who was not involved in the new study, says scientists can’t predict what the extra mutations will mean for Scott’s health.

“It is hard to be sure, but I believe those sorts of numbers would be associated with a moderate increase in cancer risk”, he says.

These two lingering changes – in Scott’s cognition and DNA – left a number of experts concerned about the risks of a trip to Mars, which could take a year.

Gary Strangman, a psychologist at Harvard Medical School, says that a decrease in speed and accuracy “could potentially have serious consequences on long-duration missions.”

After a gruelling journey to the red planet, astronauts would probably need to take quick, accurate actions as they land.

“If you had a period of slower cognitive processing speed and difficulty with balance and eye-head coordination, those behaviours would be at risk”, says Rachael Seidler, a cognitive neuroscientist at the University of Florida.

A heavy load of genetic mutations would not present immediate dangers to astronauts on their missions, but it might raise their lifelong risks of cancer.

Mason estimated that a mission to Mars would expose an astronaut to eight times more radiation than Scott experienced.

“Every effort will need to be made to limit exposure to astronauts during periods of prolonged space travel”, says Charles Swanton, a cancer biologist at the Francis Crick Institute in London who was not involved in the new study.

Topol, of the Scripps institute, found the implications of Scott’s experience to be grim.

“The main conclusion I got from this paper, based on all the objective data, is why would anybody want to go to Mars or be in space?” he says. “Because this is really scary.”

Jerry Shay, a cell biologist at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Centre, is much more optimistic. He holds out hope for countermeasures that will protect astronauts.

Already he and his colleagues, for example, are testing drugs to trigger cells to fix DNA damaged by radiation. “I think all these problems are solvable”, Shay says.

Nasa has begun sifting through all these results to help plan the next round of missions to the International Space Station.

“It won’t be a replication of what you saw in the Twins Study”, says Jennifer Fogarty, chief scientist at Nasa’s Human Research Program.

“We’re going to learn from that, and we’re going to be smarter about the questions we ask. There’s a lot of fascinating stuff to go measure. It’s just not clear what it means.”

Bailey, for her part, plans to keep on studying Scott’s baffling telomeres. Solving that mystery might shed light on ordinary ageing and the diseases it brings.

“When we figure out the how and why of that, it’s going to be important for astronauts as well as for us mere Earthlings”, she says.

© New York Times