Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

THE INVESTMENT COLUMN: Hold on to Caffe Nero for yet more growth

Stephen Foley
Thursday 03 February 2005 20:02 EST
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

SHARES IN Caffe Nero, the coffee shop chain, have got up a head of steam, and yesterday hit a high of 135.5p on news that its cappuccino machines had been running at record levels during the six months to 30 November.

The group is achieving phenomenal growth from new stores, reporting an 118 per cent leap in pre-tax profits. With low central overheads and cheap regional management, it can open new outlets without much additional expense and its takings are high enough to finance expansion from internal cash flow. Price increases have outstripped increased utility bills and minimum wage costs, and while shoppers were cautious on Christmas spending, they were still willing to splash out for their lattes.

Caffe Nero wants to double in size to 400 shops and says the market for branded coffee shop chains shows no sign of slowing (the current rate of sales growth is 12 per cent a year). Starbucks, Costa and Caffe Nero control 60 per cent of the market, so there is scope to continue taking business from independents.

We recommended the shares at 98.5p, but at current levels they trade at a scalding 27 times earnings. It may be too late for new investors, but existing holders should stay in.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in