Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

The Investment Column: French troubles make Logica one to avoid

Stephen Foley
Monday 07 November 2005 20:00 EST
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

So Logica is buying Unilog, one of the country's best-respected IT consultancies, for €930m (£630m). The strategic benefits are clear: a client base of national giants including France Télécom, Total and Vivendi Universal; the ability to offer clients a broader range of services, and in particular more outsourced IT support; even a modest amount of cost-cutting benefits, although French labour laws mean even these may not be achieved.

Analysts say they have to be pretty cavalier with the numbers to believe the deal will generate a good return on capital quickly, and Logica's balance sheet is already stretched. The acquisition had to be part-funded by a £389m rights issue at a 36 per cent discount to the share price. Almost 92 per cent took up their rights at 107p and the rump were placed at 145p apiece yesterday. Even after the equity fundraising, gearing will still be a ticklish 67 per cent.

Across Europe, business spending on IT has picked up this year, so Logica has enjoyed a rebound in profitability. The medium-term trends, though, are not all in its favour, with margins under pressure for all the mid-tier players. The company remains sub-scale in Germany. And its wireless technology division, servicing telecoms operators, is still underperforming. Avoid.

NETeller still looks a good bet

A very, very big pay-day for Stephen Lawrence and John LeFebvre, founders and non-executives at NETeller, the money transfer business that provides an "e-wallet" for online gamblers to use to play poker and other games. The pair cashed in £218m yesterday - yes, £218m - as they sold their stake down from 49.9 per cent to 20.7 per cent.

The stock fell 56p to 652.5p as the pair's broker searched for buyers, and the placing was done at 625p. Some investors will take fright at the share sales, but there is an unhealthy scepticism about all things to do with online gaming. See the move instead as part of the company's growing up process.

The third quarter trading update showed that NETeller is still adding 3,085 new customers every day as more gamblers move to the internet to get their fix. NETeller's net income for the year to date has tripled and it is on course to make $97m (£55m) pre-tax profit this year, putting the shares on 17 times earnings. There is no sense of a slowdown in the growth of gambling over the net; no sign of a change to the US law that prohibits the practice and forces punters to use e-wallets such as NETeller's; and no appearance of tougher competition. Buy.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in