Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

Ben Chu: Welcome to the hotel eurozone

Ben Chu
Thursday 22 August 2013 19:16 EDT
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Outlook The single currency becomes more like the Hotel California with each passing every year.

Since 2010, Germany's Bundesbank has been resisting every attempt to ease monetary conditions in the single currency to help struggling member states on the periphery. The Bundesbank has also been insisting that official bailouts must be tied to deflationary fiscal packages. And if those countries aren't willing to gulp down that austerity medicine? Well, auf wiedersehen.

But the Bundesbank president, Jens Weidmann, modified his rhetoric this week and warned in an interview of "grave consequences" for any country that leaves the eurozone. The single currency, he said, is not "some sort of club which you can easily quit and then quickly sign up to again". So, as The Eagles sang: you can check out anytime you like, but you can never leave.

Mr Weidmann's correct that leaving the single currency would be "grave". However, life inside the eurozone remains pretty darn grave too, notwithstanding the latests surveys pointing to an expansion of activity for the bloc.

But those signs of recovery might explain Mr Weidmann's new line. Once the strugglers have wiped out their primary deficits (before interest payments) as all but one are forecast to do by the end of next year, they will be able to fund their expenditure from domestic taxes. That will make them less reliant on loans from neighbouring states and make an exit more feasible. That, just might, be check-out time for real.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in