Stay up to date with notifications from The Independent

Notifications can be managed in browser preferences.

The financial crisis – the vital questions answered

Sean O'Grady
Friday 10 October 2008 19:00 EDT
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Why are the markets tanking?

The root cause is the condition of the world's financial system, and the health of the banks. The banks are unwilling to lend to each other for even a day, and are increasingly wary of lending to the wider economy. Without credit, the economy will stumble, healthy companies will go bankrupt, unemployment will soar and house repossessions and homelessness will rise.

What's needed now?

Action not words. The banks need money, and governments will have to provide it by taking stakes in them.

What are the authorities doing?

The G7 and the IMF again promise more global co-operation but the banks need what's called "an injection of capital" – the financial backing they need to go about their business. The quickest way to raise the funds is to for governments buy shares in them.

What could go wrong?

Every piece of government intervention so far has seen, at best, only a temporary recovery. The danger now is that any action taken, such as even deeper cuts in interest rates, will also have a minimal effect.

What are the prospects?

The problems in the banking system have a direct impact on families' ability to buy homes and consumer goods, on farms, factories and offices buying equipment. At worst, share prices could fall by 50 per cent from their peaks last year and house prices by another 20 per cent. Such a devastation of wealth makes us less liable to go out and spend, dragging economies down further.

What else can go bust?

Countries. Sovereign states, such as Iceland and some emerging economies, could default on their debts, causing more instability. Big companies too; the likes of General Motors has seen its shares crash byalmost 50 per cent in a few days.

What could the endgame be?

If all else fails, governments will have to nationalise their banking systems, but only if they and their currencies are strong enough. We've seen runs on some of the word's biggest banks and insurers and some smaller economies; could a run on the US itself, and a complete collapse of the dollar be ruled out?

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in