Investment Insider: Market may have misread Barclays' ability to recover

David Kuo
Saturday 14 July 2012 08:30 EDT
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Perhaps the most telling sign that UK banks are unwanted is that four of the UK's five main quoted banks are trading below their book (or net asset) values.

Barclays shares are trading at around a third of book value, implying that they are ostensibly cheap. Royal Bank of Scotland is even cheaper at almost a fifth of its book value while Lloyds Banking Group is priced at around half its book value.

Standard Chartered, which has judiciously side-stepped the European debt shenanigans, is trading at a premium to its book value while HSBC's price is a smidgen below its net asset value.

Price to earnings is another useful ratio to look at because it is said that banks generally increase their attractiveness when investors pay less than ten times profits (price to earnings) for their shares. At the moment, Lloyds, RBS and HSBC are all valued at eight times forward earnings. Barclays is valued at just five times prospective profits while Standard Chartered is the most expensive at ten times forward earnings.

HSBC and Barclays' prospective dividend yields of around 5 per cent are tempting, as is Standard Chartered's 4 per cent. However, both Lloyds and RBS are not expected to resume dividend payouts yet to ordinary shareholders.

Standard Chartered stands out as the most obvious play on continued Asian growth while Lloyds is likely to have the biggest market share in the UK even after disposing of branches it acquired after buying HBOS.

But value seekers may want to take a closer look at Barclays. Shares are cheap due to the ongoing inquiry into manipulation of inter-bank borrowing rates. But the market may be overly pessimistic about the outcome.

David Kuo is director of fool.co.uk

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in