James Moore: It's a gamble, but Corcoran needs to put that zing back

Wednesday 07 March 2012 06:00 EST
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

Welcome to the toughest job in gambling, Breon Corcoran. That might seem like a rather strange thing to say given yesterday's sprightly trading statement from Betfair, where Mr Corcoran will soon take over as chief executive.

After all, Betfair has dug out a winner in the smartphone, a device tailor-made for gambling however much some of the po-faced technology firms might wince. Smartphone gambling helped to charge up the company's numbers yesterday, as it did for Paddy Power (Mr Corcoran's previous employer) on Monday.

But the exchange was upbeat in general. Stephen Morana, the interim chief executive, has steadied a ship that looked to be wobbling. The shares have been showing some signs of life too, having risen by nearly 50 per cent from their nadir last August.

But they are still a long way from the £13 they were floated at, and it would take a courageous punter to back them to reach that level anytime soon. There are storm clouds on the horizon.

The first is regulation. Investec's gambling guru Paul Leyland notes that as much as 45 per cent of the exchange's core revenues come from unregulated jurisdictions.

Change is coming to a number of those countries, including Germany, Spain and Greece. The controversy that dogged Betfair in its early days – when the bookies cried foul against the City types who founded it and broke their monopoly by enabling punters to lay horses to lose like they do – is no longer an issue, at least in this country. But the company might need some smart lobbyists to plead its case on the Continent.

The other problem is the cost base. The aforementioned Paddy Power should generate revenues of about €280m (£234m) from its remote gaming operations by the end of its financial year, through the efforts of around 650 staff who used to be led by Mr Corcoran.

Betfair, by contrast, is set to bring in about £350m. To get that it employs 2,600 people. It isn't pleasant to be raising questions about anyone's job right now. But a company such as Betfair cannot escape the cold business logic of those numbers. Right now, Paddy Power looks a much more efficient operation. And its shares are a bargain compared to the lofty multiple Betfair enjoys.

Mr Corcoran's challenge is to re-establish some of the zing that made Betfair such an exciting proposition when it burst on to the scene, while at the same time addressing that cost base. If he can pull that off, he'll be one of the few chief executives who are worth their money.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in