Double-dip recession adds to woes of struggling Spain

Ben Chu
Tuesday 01 May 2012 04:46 EDT
Comments

Your support helps us to tell the story

From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.

At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.

The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.

Your support makes all the difference.

The battered Spanish economy has officially slumped back into recession, as figures yesterday showed that the eurozone laggard shrank by 0.3 per cent in the first three months of the year.

The confirmation of the contraction followed a host of economic blows for Mariano Rajoy's centre-right government, which is struggling to implement the toughest budget in Spain's modern history in the face of spiralling unemployment and intensifying, popular opposition.

Last week, the credit ratings agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) downgraded Spain by two notches and the country's headline unemployment rate hit a record 24.4 per cent. About half of all 16- to 24-year-olds are out of work. "We fear things are likely to get worse before they get better," said Martin van Vliet, an analyst at ING. "The recession will almost certainly deepen in the coming quarters, pushing unemployment to even more dramatic highs."

Tens of thousands of Spaniards took to the streets on Sunday to protest at the government's planned cuts to education and healthcare. Madrid, under pressure from the European Commission, is pushing through a €27bn (£22bn) package of tax rises and spending cuts designed to slash the deficit from 8.5 per cent of GDP in 2011 to 5.3 per cent in just one year.

But many analysts doubt that this target will be achievable as the cuts hammer consumer demand.

The latest quarterly contraction, which was slightly better than the 0.4 per cent shrinkage analysts expected, follows a 0.3 per cent fall in the final quarter of 2011. The government has forecast the economy will contract by 1.7 per cent in 2012. Financial markets fear Spain could be forced to follow Greece, Ireland and Portugal in requesting a bailout from the eurozone and the International Monetary Fund.

Spanish 10-year bond yields are now 1 per cent higher than they were at the beginning of March because investors have reduced their exposure to Spanish sovereign debt.

Join our commenting forum

Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies

Comments

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in