Nearly half of global coal plants will be unprofitable this year, study shows
‘Digging up coal is making less and less business sense, but it’s awful impact on the planet will only decrease if it’s fully consigned to history,’ says Friends of the Earth
Your support helps us to tell the story
From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it's investigating the financials of Elon Musk's pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, 'The A Word', which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.
At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.
The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.
Your support makes all the difference.Nearly half of all global coal plants will run at a loss this year, new research suggests.
This comes despite proposals in China to build more plants to stimulate its economy in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, according to Carbon Tracker, a London-based environmental think tank.
The organisation analysed the profitability of 95 per cent of coal plants in operation or planned around the world.
Looking at 6,696 existing plants and 1,046 in the pipeline, it found that 46 per cent will be unprofitable this year, up from 41 per cent in 2019.
This is based on estimated revenues from wholesale power markets, ancillary and balancing services and capital markets, as well as running costs, carbon pricing and pollution policies.
As renewable energy and cheaper gas outcompete coal, 52 per cent of coal plants are expected to be unprofitable by 2030, the think tank added.
China, which produces and consumes about half the world’s coal, might be considering building more coal plants to re-energise its economy once the Covid-19 pandemic has passed, after the National Energy Administration announced it was ready to relax rules on coal power investment, the report said.
Nearly 60 per cent of China’s existing coal plant fleet is running at an underlying loss, it added.
“China and other governments may be tempted to invest in coal power to help their economies recover after the Covid-19 pandemic, but this risks locking in high-cost coal power that will undermine global climate targets,” said Matt Gray, co-head of power and utilities at Carbon Tracker.
Governments and investors building new coal may never recoup their investment because coal plants typically take 15 to 20 years to cover their costs, the report said.
Global coal use in electricity generation must fall by 80 per cent below 2010 levels before 2030 to limit global warming, according to the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
“Digging up coal is making less and less business sense, but its awful impact on the planet will only decrease if it’s fully consigned to history,” Tony Bosworth, a campaigner at Friends of the Earth, told The Independent.
“We cannot afford to extract or burn it if we are to comply with the Paris Agreement, and get to net-zero emissions as soon as we can.”
In accordance with the Paris Agreement, all countries are expected to submit new or revised plans this year for curbing greenhouse gas emissions and keeping global warming below 2C.
Under current national targets, the global temperature is likely to rise beyond that limit within the next 10 years, according to UN scientists, who have warned that the world is facing an “avoidable human tragedy”.
Additional reporting by Reuters
Join our commenting forum
Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies
Comments